The outcome is likely to be that costs will continue to spiral upward. In effect, the nation would be relying on the range of promising pilot approaches to cost containment that would take some time to be successful. If they are not, we may be left with increasingly regulatory approaches, such as rate setting or utilization controls that apply to all payers. This would mean much more government involvement than giving people a choice of a low-cost public option that would be required to compete with private insurers.
Liberals might offer those who oppose the public option this alternative: either a strong public option, or treat hospitals and insurance companies like public utilities and regulate their rates directly. I think the regulatory approach would actually be more effective than the public option and would be happy to go that route.
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